BGR Bundesanstalt für Geowissenschaften und Rohstoffe

Input data, NARX model and groundwater level forecast

Input data, NARX model and NARX-based groundwater level predictionThe input data precipitation, relative humidity, temperature and a sinusoidal curve adapted to the temperature are shown above, which provide the model with noise-free information on seasonality. These data are incorporated into a NARX model (with one input and output layer, three hidden layers and a feedback connection). The groundwater level forecast shown below shows the results of 10 pseudo-randomised model initialisations (median with a strong red line). Source: KIT & BGR

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